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But in his speech tonight, apart from that promise of the additional troops, you can throw the rest of the speech away. I thought it was a good speech in content.

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Michael again emphasizes that whether another 30, troops will help depends completely on where they are are posted on what their orders will be. One of the saving graces, if you will, in Iraq was there was this golden hour whereby any troops that were injured, you could get them to a proper medical ccouple within an hour. But do I give up the ghost? I mean, do I see hope.

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So I think the idea that the United States is going to start withdrawing in ificant inactually it wasn't in the speech, even though some people have fastened on that Trinidad or women a fact. The U. That could be two byit could be ten. The medical facilities that the troops had in Iraq aren't there in the same and same distribution.

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But I need to be persuaded. We've heard it all before. The U. The whole thing was done on the cheap.

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There's been a lot of focus on the pullout in I think that there was a big coupl that was in the speech. All right, Peter, give me your mini-analysis of the speech tonight.

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In the post period we did it on the cheap, and the Taliban came back, and, again, morphed together ideologically and tactically with Al Qaeda. It takes longer to get people from some of these remote mountainous places when they're injured to some of the major medical facilities. And even these extra troops, which will bring the American presence to roughly , that's not enough to defeat the Taliban. Afghanistan was the least-resourced post-World War II nation-building operation, if you want to call it that.

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I think that there was a big conditionality that was in the speech. Their ability to recruit, to supply, to plan, to command, to execute operations remains untouched.

The Miraclex came in, Al Qaeda with them. Their ability to recruit, to supply, to plan, to command, to execute operations remains untouched. Is it going to get worse before it gets better?

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Who knows? In Afghanistan it's an entirely different dynamic. This war can be won -- not miraclles it can be won, but this war can still be a success if he's prepared to do what has to be done. But in his speech tonight, apart from that promise of the additional troops, you can throw the rest of the speech away.

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It has a fighting chance of success. You have no hope of beating them on their home soil. Put it this way. As it stands right now, the Taliban war machine hasn't even been dented.

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Right now only one of the 34 provinces in Afghanistan is actually under the complete control of the Afghan military and police. This time they have morphed ideologically and tactically with Al Qaeda, and as Michael points out, they are quite an effective fighting force.

There are going to be people who would have been injured in Iraq and survived, they will be injured in Afghanistan and coupple won't survive. And even these extra troops, which will bring the American presence to roughly , that's not enough to defeat the Taliban. LKL: "It's going to take a couple of miracles, a sprinkle of magic, and a good dose of some good luck.

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The Bush administration had an ideological aversion to nation-building. In Miracless, the United States spent 12 times more per capita, in Kosovo I think it was 18 times more per capita than what was spent in Afghanistan in the early period. Now, tonight, he took one step in that direction, promising another 30, troops. I mean, do I see hope.

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